CDC’s time line of the Dallas Ebola victim’s flight date and symptom
onset date indicates a greater than 50% probability that the Dallas
Ebola victim ACQUIRED HIS INFECTION DURING HIS FLIGHT.
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Per the
Center For Disease Control’s very own Ebola simulation model, 50% of all
Ebola infections develop symptoms five and a half days after infection.
Given that the Dallas victim’s symptom onset occurred within 6 days of
his Liberian departure flight; it is most likely that he/she was
infected on that flight by someone else on that flight who was actively
shedding Ebola virus.
Since the Dallas victim is most likely a
secondary infection, patient zero from that flight is still on the loose
and more victims are to follow in the near term. The situation is
potentially catastrophic because of the massive number of potential
secondary victims who have no African travel history and are likely to
not attract attention in any Emergency room until massive hemorrhaging
has started.
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